Under the Microscope: Arkansas

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Image courtesy of microscope.com

Pint sized version of Under the Microscope to round out the Dog Days of February.

One school that was flying under the radar during the first three months is suddenly on a hot streak.  Will this bring back Hog Heaven to Fayetteville during their 1994 title run winning it all in Charlotte and subsequent repeat appearance at the 1995 Final Four in Seattle?

Please look over my capsule and comment for yourself:

Arkansas Razorbacks, Southeastern Conference

Current Record:  21-7 overall, 10-5 in conference play.

RPI:  35 according to CBSSports.com, with a 59th best Strength of Schedule

Good Wins:  February 15 at South Carolina

Bad Losses:  November 22 at Minnesota, December 29 vs. Florida, January 7 at Kentucky, and January 28 at Oklahoma State

Brief Analysis:  The Razorbacks don’t have many quality wins.  Most of their non-conference slate featured schools ranked 99th and worse in the RPI.  With them 0-3 against Top 25 teams and not winning both of their true road games in November and December, when the time comes for the Selection Committee to compare teams–Arkansas might be on the outside looking in.

Percentage Chance of Reaching the Big Dance:  10 percent, since their remaining games are mostly against bottom feeder teams in Auburn and Georgia.  The Florida game may be a tough one to figure out, but with the distinct possibility again of having maybe multiple bids coming from the Missouri Valley and also from the West Coast Conference if somehow St. Mary’s sneaks up and beats Gonzaga in Las Vegas.  Otherwise, Arkansas fans are going to have to do a lot of praying between now and March 12.

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